The Effects of Altered Vegetation on Local Climate Change with Respect to the Glaciers atop Mount Kilimanjaro

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Date

2010-04-28

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Abstract

HEUSER, SEAN PATRICK. The Effects of Altered Vegetation on Local Climate Change with Respect to Glaciers atop Mount Kilimanjaro. (Under the direction of Dr. Fredrick H.M. Semazzi) The objective of this study is to determine how changes in vegetation around the region of Mount Kilimanjaro effect the glaciers atop the mountain. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model, we are able to alter albedo, roughness length, and vegetation for a given area around the mountain during the June, July, August season of 2000. These simulations are also done for the March, April, May season of 2000 to determine lag effects of vegetation in comparison to soil moisture for the region. We use the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to determine the severity of vegetation change for the region. For this study, we are comparing temperature, precipitation, as well as radiation balances to infer whether glaciers will thrive or decline in a changed environment. Using this information, we make inferences on what should be happening atop Mount Kilimanjaro. Our study concludes that the albedo plays a larger role in changing temperatures with roughness length playing a larger role in terms of affecting precipitation. Changing vegetation from grasslands to savanna show more change to the glacier than when being altered to cropland. Furthermore, the changes made in this study conclude that the glacier itself may actually decline in an environment with more cropland than with more savanna. This is due to the decrease in orographic effects which dominate the precipitation patterns in the region.

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Keywords

Land Use, Vegetation, WRF, Climate, Mt. Kilimanjaro, Africa

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Degree

MS

Discipline

Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

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